GG. This is a very hard question to answer! Looking at the government’s track record on the death penalty, the answer is likely not. As above-mentioned, Singapore is extremely committed to defending the imposition of capital punishment both in international fora (such as the Human Rights Council and the UN General Assembly) and in the media.
In the eyes of the government, the death penalty in the country is imposed in compliance with all its international obligations, and whether to retain the death penalty or not is ultimately an issue of national sovereignty, and thus discretion.
At the same time, it is worth noting that recent reforms have somehow limited the number of cases to which capital punishment can be imposed; although, notably, the only alternative to death ─in those cases─ remains life imprisonment, which is also highly problematic. Courts also adopted some progressive judgments recently, which may further restrict the imposition of this extreme sentence. Meanwhile, as of 23rd November, no executions have been carried out in Singapore in 2021; COVID-19 surely had an impact, but unless things change, this would be the second year in a row without executions. This may signal increasing preoccupation by the government with the negative repercussions that executions have on the country’s reputation at the international level.
A notable trend in recent years is an increase in international concern for the imposition of the death penalty in Singapore ─and increased condemnation by the UN, abolitionist countries, local and international civil society, and media outlets. In light of this, the death penalty may become politically too ‘costly’ for the government.
Singapore’s claim that public opinion strongly favours the death penalty is also crumbling, as demonstrated by recent developments: an online petition calling on the government to halt the execution of Syed Suhail in 2020 garnered over 30,000 signatures ─an unprecedented result.
A petition to spare Nagaenthran’s life has now over 90,000 signatories; a result that would have been unthinkable up to few years ago. Local civil society, activists (such as the Transformative Justice Collective) and lawyers are also increasingly vocal and effective in highlighting the many shortcomings of this practice, its abusive nature, and its ultimate ineffectiveness.
In short, the government remains resolute in defending the death penalty, but evidence and advocacy are mounting against its imposition, and the unique challenges posed by COVID-19 make this a valuable moment to re-evaluate retention of this punishment.